Daily Bit | 20 July 2022
MyntBit Daily Report is dedicated to provide traders with recap and bring setups to watch for the next trading day.
Market Snapshot
RTTNews Market Update
Stocks moved sharply higher during trading on Tuesday, more than offsetting the significant downturn seen over the course of the session on Monday. The major averages jumped early in the session and saw further upside as the day progressed.
The major averages ended the session just off their best levels of the day. The Dow surged 754.44 points or 2.4 percent to 31,827.05, the Nasdaq soared 353.10 points or 3.1 percent to 11,713.15 and the S&P 500 spiked 105.84 points or 2.8 percent to 3,936.69.
The rebound on Wall Street came as traders made another attempt at bargain hunting after the rally seen in early trading on Monday faded as the day progressed.
Optimism about upcoming earnings news was also cited as a reason for the rally, with a majority of the S&P 500 companies beating expectations so far this season.
Toymaker Hasbro (HAS) and oil services giant Halliburton (HAL) posted notable gains after reporting better than expected quarterly earnings.
On the other hand, shares of IBM Corp. (IBM) moved sharply lower after the tech giant reported better than expected second quarter results but lowered its cash flow forecast.
Healthcare giant Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) also moved to the downside after reporting second quarter results that beat analyst estimates but cutting its full-year guidance.
Meanwhile, traders largely shrugged off a report from the Commerce Department unexpectedly showing a continued decline in housing starts in the month of June.
The Commerce Department said housing starts slumped by 2.0 percent to an annual rate of 1.559 million after plunging by 11.9 percent to a revised rate of 1.591 million in May.
The continued decrease came as a surprise to economists, who had expected housing starts to jump by 2.3 percent to an annual rate of 1.585 million from the 1.549 million originally reported for the previous month.
With the unexpected decrease, housing starts dropped to the lowest annual rate since hitting 1.505 million in April of 2021.
The report showed building permits also fell by 0.6 percent to an annual rate of 1.685 million in June after tumbling by 7.0 percent to a rate of 1.695 million in May.
Building permits, an indicator of future housing demand, were expected to slump by 2.7 percent to an annual rate of 1.650 million.
Sector News
Semiconductor stocks turned in some of the market's best performances on the day, resulting in a 4.6percent spike by the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index.
Substantial strength was also visible among airline stocks, with the NYSE Arca Airline Index soaring by 4.1 percent.
Networking stocks also saw considerable strength on the day, resulting in a 3.8 percent surge by the NYSE Arca Networking Index.
Energy, chemical, brokerage and computer hardware stocks also showed strong moves to the upside, reflecting broad based buying interest on Wall Street.
Other Markets
In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region turned in a mixed performance during trading on Tuesday. Japan's Nikkei 225 Index climbed by 0.7 percent, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell by 0.9 percent.
Meanwhile, the major European markets all showed strong moves to the upside on the day. While the German DAX Index spiked by 2.7 percent, the French CAC 40 Index surged by 1.8 percent and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index jumped by 1.0 percent.
In the bond market, treasuries have come under pressure amid the rally on Wall Street. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, is up by 5.2 basis points at 3.012 percent.
Looking Ahead
Earnings news is likely to remain in focus on Wednesday, with streaming giant Netflix (NFLX) among the companies releasing their quarterly results after the close of today's trading.
Market Heatmap
Futures Markets
What a day! The shorts got burned with this epic rally across the board. The weekly perspective for /ES & /NQ has not changed. /ES futures are currently sitting at 3940 while writing this post. /ES is knocking on the range top at 3950, which has been a key resistance while /NQ has broken above its range top and is ready to fly. The AAPL, TSLA, and Russia’s Nord Stream news were ignored by the market in anticipation of NFLX earnings. NFLX currently sitting over 7 percent after their earnings reports.
Next up, earnings for NFLX and TSLA this week then next week for other mega caps report earnings plus FOMC and GDP release for the second quarter.
/ES - Emini S&P 500
Bullish Scenario
If we open above 3940, we will need to overcome 3950 which has been a key resistance and also the range top. Any moves above might see some resistance but the next target would be 3980 with a 4000 a possibility.
Bearish Scenario
If we open below 3940 then we will go retest 3910 where there might be buyers but the next target would be 3900 which is resistance turned support (key area) but anything lower than could see use test the lows from Mondays at 3830.
POC: 3930 | VAH: 3946 | VAL: 3888 | Range: 3723 - 3950
/NQ - Emini Nasdaq 100
Bullish Scenario
If we open the range top at 12262, we might continue this rally up to 12400 before we see some resistance but 12600 could be on the table if we have follow-through from buyers.
Bearish Scenario
If we open below 12262, then we will go test 12100 where we might see some buyers but if we fall further 11800 could be a possibility.
POC: 12246 | VAH: 12289 | VAL: 12053 | Range: 11390 - 12262
Earnings Calendar (Wed. July 20)
Economic Calendar (Wed. July 20)
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice, but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents our personal opinions which we are sharing publicly for educational purposes. Futures, stocks, bonds trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. We guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. Reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are the courtesy of IBKR, Unusual whales, RTTnews, FXstreet, and/or Tradingview. We are just an end-user with no affiliations with them.