How to Read the Market Triangle?
The Market Triangle is a core analytical model used by BitResearch to assess overall market health and guide our swing trading strategy.
The Market Triangle is a core analytical model used by BitResearch to assess overall market health and guide our swing trading strategy. Rather than predict direction, the Market Triangle reflects the current state of the market across three key dimensions. It is designed to be used alongside your portfolio performance, watchlist signals, and broader market context.
Trend
The Trend metric reflects the strength and direction of the market's prevailing movement. It is derived by comparing:
The number of stocks above moving averages (MAs)
5D MA → Short-term
20D MA → Medium-term
50D & 200D MA → Long-term
A strong trend indicates institutional support and directional alignment across sectors.
Breadth
Breadth measures market participation and expansion. A healthy uptrend is supported by wide participation across different stocks and industries. We assess breadth using:
% of stocks gaining 4% or more in the last week
Short-term
% of stocks gaining 25% or more in the last quarter
Long-term
Net number of 52-week highs minus lows
This reveals whether market rallies are broad-based or narrow.
Momentum
Momentum captures the velocity of price movement and the overall volatility environment. It’s driven by:
Short-term index rate-of-change vs moving average
Measures of market volatility
Momentum helps identify phases of acceleration, exhaustion, or reversals in price action.
Note: The Market Triangle does not forecast future direction — it serves as a diagnostic tool to assess the market’s present condition. Use it in conjunction with your portfolio feedback, BitPicks trigger data, and an awareness of the current market cycle.
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