Market Triangle | 05.05.2025
A proprietary model that evaluates the current state of the market using three core components — Trend, Breadth, and Momentum.
⦿ Trend → Mixed: Short-term positive, Long-term negative
Short-term → Positive
Medium-term → Postive
Long-term → Negative
⦿ Breadth → Mixed
25% Quarter → Negative
52w NHL → Postive
MA → Negative
⦿ Momentum → Mixed: Positive but high volatility
Velocity → Positive
Volatility → High
The market is showing conflicting signals —
momentum is improving in a volatile environment, with breadth and trend improving.
Broader Market Analysis
Recovery Underway, but Not Uniform: Most sectors have bounced from 52-week lows but remain far from highs. Stronger rebounds in XLU and XLI hint at defensive leadership.
Mixed Trend Confirmation: The 20SMA is rising across the board, but the 50SMA and 200SMA show divergence — bulls need broader alignment for sustained upside.
Caution in Growth: XLK and XLY remain technically vulnerable; investors should wait for reclaiming key averages before adding risk in growth-heavy sectors.
SPY & QQQ Outlook: Both ETFs are attempting to stabilize, but with year-to-date performance still negative, further earnings/fed clarity may be required for full recovery momentum.
BitResearch's Market Triangle points to improving breadth and select sector momentum, but the overall trend remains fragile. This market rewards selectivity and favors a defensive tilt, with the Utilities, Staples, and Real Estate sectors providing relative strength.
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