Market Triangle | 05.06.2025
A proprietary model that evaluates the current state of the market using three core components — Trend, Breadth, and Momentum.
⦿ Trend → Negative: Trending Lower
Short-term → Negative
Medium-term → Mixed
Long-term → Negative
⦿ Breadth → Negative
25% Quarter → Negative
52w NHL → Negative
MA → Negative
⦿ Momentum → Negative: Losing momentum but high volatility
Velocity → Mixed
Volatility → High
The market is showing weakness —
loss of momentum in a volatile environment, with breadth and trend declining.
Broader Market Analysis
Short-Term Rebounds Continue: Most sectors remain above their 20-day SMAs, but few have reclaimed 50-day or 200-day levels. This signals early-stage recovery rather than confirmed uptrends.
Momentum (M-IO): Technology (XLK) and Health Care (XLV) still exhibit negative momentum. XLU and XLI show strongest relative momentum with 3–5% edge.
Breadth Improves but Needs Follow-Through: The number of sectors above their short-term averages is increasing, but intermediate trend validation is lacking.
SPY & QQQ Outlook: Broad indices are off their lows, but remain fragile with mixed sector internals. Growth is still struggling to lead.
BitResearch’s Market Triangle suggests cautious participation is warranted. Defensive strength continues to anchor portfolios, while investors should remain selective in high-beta names until broader confirmation emerges.
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