Market Triangle | 05.07.2025
A proprietary model that evaluates the current state of the market using three core components — Trend, Breadth, and Momentum.
⦿ Trend → Negative
Short-term (5D) → Negative
Medium-term (20D) → Postive (Over-heated)
Long-term (50D & 200D) → Negative
⦿ Breadth → Negative
25% Quarter → Negative
52w NHL → Negative
MA → Negative
⦿ Momentum → Negative
Velocity → Mixed, losing momentum
Volatility → High
The market is showing weakness in short-term & long-term —
loss of momentum in a volatile environment, with breadth and trend declining.
Broader Market Analysis
Breadth remains mixed: Most sectors are above their 20-day SMAs, but 50SMA resistance remains a ceiling across the board.
Technology (XLK) and Utilities (XLU) are the only sectors showing solid relative strength above both 20 and 200-day moving averages.
Energy (XLE) and Materials (XLB) continue to struggle near 52-week lows, showing weak risk appetite in cyclicals.
Financials (XLF) and Industrials (XLI) are holding steady, reflecting macro resilience despite recent volatility.
Momentum-to-Index Outperformance (M-IO) is strongest in XLK (8.15%), signaling bullish participation from leadership names.
BitResearch’s Market Triangle suggests cautious participation is warranted. While market breadth is stabilizing, participation is still narrow. With tech reclaiming leadership, a broader rotation may hinge on resolution of trade uncertainties and clearer Fed guidance.
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