Market Triangle | 05.08.2025
A proprietary model that evaluates the current state of the market using three core components — Trend, Breadth, and Momentum.
⦿ Trend → Short & Medium term positive, while long-term is still mixed
Short-term (5D) → Positive
Medium-term (20D) → Postive
Long-term (50D & 200D) → Mixed
⦿ Breadth → Short-term is positive, while long-term is negative
4% Week → Positive
25% Quarter → Negative
52w NHL → Positive
⦿ Momentum → Positive but losing momentum in high volatility
Velocity → Mixed
Volatility → Negative
The market is showing signs of recovery in short-term & medium-term —
loss of momentum in a volatile environment, but breadth and trend is now getting better.
Broader Market Analysis
Breadth Improves: Most sectors are now back above their 20SMA and 50SMA, signaling near-term momentum is improving.
M-IO Positive for 10/11 Sectors: Market internals suggest strong participation across sectors.
YTD Recovery: XLF, XLI, and XLU lead on a YTD basis, while XLY (Consumer Discretionary) and IWM still lag.
The rotation into cyclical and small caps, while defensive sectors stall, suggests traders are preparing for a more risk-on environment—pending confirmation from upcoming macro data and earnings.
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